Game-Theoretic Model for the Fall of Assad and the Middle East Regional Order

Syed Zohaib Gillani; Memoona  Kiani; Inshal  Haider

doi:10.62270/jirmcs.v5i1.62

Game-Theoretic Model for the Fall of Assad and the Middle East Regional Order

Authors

Syed Zohaib Gillani Visiting Faculty, Department of Mathematics, Quid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
Memoona Kiani Fatima Jinnah Women University, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
Inshal Haider M. Phil Scholar, Department of Defence & Strategic Studies, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan https://orcid.org/0009-0005-8231-1172

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62270/jirmcs.v5i1.62

Keywords:

Syrian conflict, Game theory, Regional order, Middle East politics, Foreign intervention

Abstract

ABSTRACT

This study develops a multi-level game-theoretic framework to analyze the strategic interactions underlying the Syrian conflict. The model captures interdependencies across local, regional, and global actors through hierarchical strategic mappings. By introducing structured payoff relationships and inter-level dependencies, the study provides a theoretical explanation of how strategic behavior propagates across different layers of conflict. The findings highlight that equilibrium outcomes are highly sensitive to coordination patterns and inter-level feedback effects. While the model remains theoretical, it offers a foundation for future empirical validation and simulation-based extensions.

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Published

2026-06-30

Issue

Vol. 5 No. 1 (2026): January-June

Section

Articles

License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC-BY) 4.0 License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work’s authorship and initial publication in this journal.

How to Cite

[1]

S. Z. Gillani, M. Kiani, and I. Haider, “Game-Theoretic Model for the Fall of Assad and the Middle East Regional Order”, jirmcs, vol. 5, no. 1, pp. 1–24, Jun. 2026, doi: 10.62270/jirmcs.v5i1.62.